![]() Statistical Analysis 2012 Airshow Accident/incident Analysis Display vs Practice Sample Size = 34 We do not “train like we fly and fly like we train!!!! 20122011 Sample Size = 26 Statistical Analysis 2012 Judgement Error = 42% Non Human Error = 50% Sample Size = 26 Airshow Accident/incident Analysis Human Judgement Error Statistical Analysis 2012 Sample Size = 26 Airshow Accident/incident Causal Factors 20122011 Sample Size = 34 Statistical Analysis 2012 Lviv, Ukraine Su-27 (85/156) *Reno Air Race P-51 (11/66) *Osprey (10) *Tiger Moth (39)įatalities (1908 to 2012) 1029 vs 1429 = 2458 Sample Size = 2458Īirshow Accident Casualties 2012 = 17 Statistical Analysis 2012Īirshow Accident/Incidents Aircraft Categories Sample Size = 28 Vintage Aircraft = 51% ![]() Sample Size = 276 Airshow Accidents 10 Previous Years Statistical Statistical Analysis 2012 10 Year Average = 27.6 (1991) Nicholson: "You want answers?!!" Cruise: "I want the truth!!" Nicholson:"You can't HANDLE the truth!!" ![]() with Tom Cruise, Demi Moore, Jack Nicholson, Kiefer Sutherland, Kevin Bacon. The Inconvenient Truth! “A Few Good Men". Lies! Damned Lies! Statistics!!! Benjamin Disraeli -Charles Wentworth Dilke (1843-1911). There are no new accidents – Just new pilots making old accidents (Hoover)! Structural FailureFlight Into Terrain Air RacesMechanical Failure –Budget constraints for military display teams. –Significant increase in airshow accidents vs display practice. Bad News: –MACHINE failures continue for 2 nd year - disproportionate number of vintage aircraft mechanical failures! –3 FIT Roll accidents. –No media ‘feeding frenzy’ – 2011 Reno/Duxford/Red Arrows –17 vs 105 killed/injured in 2011. Significant Indicators 2012 Good News: –For the first time in history? No spectators injured or killed. In context, this includes rehearsals for: Airshows Air races Flypasts Wingwalkers Barnstorming/Crazy Flying The Hostile Low Level Environment God did not design man to fly! 2 – Dimensional Creatures! Human Physiology Challenges –Closing Rates 1500 kms/hr –Extremely High Rates of Descent 300 KTAS vertical –Normal Acceleration +9g/-6g –Roll Rates >360deg/sec Human Physiology Weaknesses –Relatively Low reaction times –Inability to make quick, consistent and repeatable decisions –Inability to make good decisions repeatedly under pressureĪIM To review the worldwide airshow accident and incident safety statistics for 2012.ĭefinition of Airshow Accidents Longman Family Dictionary Longman Family Dictionary in the context of airshows – “exhibition” = “a public showing” and therefore makes all public aviation events, be they static or flying, an exhibition of some sort. Ensure Zero Tolerance of poor individual and/or Corporate performance. Practice safety oversight and regulation enforcement through regulatory bodies. Monitor regulatory compliance through ICAS/EAC/ASSA appointed officers. Compliance with Military and Chicago Convention Obligations. Develop and Manage an Airshow Safety Management System. Develop and Manage Airshow Safety Strategic Objectives. Accountable For ? Airshow SafetyĮXECUTIVE SAFETY MANAGEMENT’S RESPONSIBILITY To ensure that the implementation of policies, procedures and equipment utilisation, is adequately addressed and that personnel are trained within their areas of expertise. Fostering of good relations with airshow organisations. Instilling “SAFETY IS AN ATTITUDE” across the entire airshow population spectrum. ![]() ![]() Imposition and implementation of regulations through the specific country’s regulatory authorities. WHAT IS THE ROLE AND FUNCTION OF AIRSHOW CONTROLLING BODIES? Responsible For ? Visioning – setting safety objectives. Scope Role & Function of Airshow Executive Safety Management Display Physiological Environment A Statistical Analysis - “The Inconvenient Truth” Overview of Airshow Relate Accidents 2012! Chicago Air Show 21 August 2005 Airshow accident statistics are all that remain!” (Maj Gen Scott Hammond, US ANG) Des Barker 4 February 2013 Emotionally, we all LOVE absolute extreme edge of the envelope flying.right up until the revulsion of impact. World Airshow Accident/Incident Overview 2012 “Looking Back to Look Forward” “A realistic, clear-eyed look at risk management for display flying is a sobering exercise. Presentation on theme: "World Airshow Accident/Incident Overview 2012 “Looking Back to Look Forward” “A realistic, clear-eyed look at risk management for display flying is a sobering."- Presentation transcript: ![]()
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